Macroeconomic conditions are broadly sound: fiscal and current account deficits remain at prudent levels; public debt persists at a low level; and unemployment continues to fall. For the first time in the last 5 years, credit growth to the private sector is positive, signaling that the credit cycle has turned. However, growth seems to have settled at a more modest pace, and staff estimate that the post-crisis medium-term potential growth rate is lower than previously thought, with implications for the convergence path.
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