Can Debt Crises Be Self-Fulfilling?

Several papers argue that debt crises can be the result of self-fulfilling expectations that no one will lend to a country. I show this type of coordination failure can be eliminated by a combination of state-contingent securities and a mechanism that allows investors to promise to lend only if enough other investors do so as well. This suggests that runs on the debt of a single borrower (such as the government) can be eliminated, and that self-fulfilling features are more plausible when articulated in a context in which externalities among many decentralized borrowers allow for economy-wide debt runs to occur.
Publication date: June 2004
ISBN: 9781451852301
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International - Economics , International - Economics , Debt crises , multiple equilibria , financial innovation , investors , short-term debt , sovereign debt , public debt , Macroeconomic Policy , Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance , and General Outlook: General , International Finance: General , International Lending and De

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