The Credit Boom in the EU New Member States: Bad Luck or Bad Policies?

WPIEA2010130 Image
Price:  $18.00

Author/Editor: Bas Berend Bakker, Anne Marie Gulde
Release Date: © May, 2010
ISBN : 978-1-45520-113-6
Stock #: WPIEA2010130
English
Stock Status: Available

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Description

In the past decade, most of the EU New Member States experienced a severe credit-boom bust cycle. This paper argues that the credit boom-bust cycle was to a large extent the result of factors external to the region (“bad luck”). Rapid credit growth followed from a high liquidity in global markets and the particular attractiveness of “new Europe” for capital flows, while the end of the credit cycle was brought about by a global crisis. However, the fact that some countries managed to avoid most of the excesses, including asset price bubbles and foreign exchange lending, suggests that policies and policy failures (“bad policies”)—in particular overly expansionary macroeconomic settings and excessively optimistic views on prudential risks—also have played a critical role.

Taxonomy

Business cycles , Economic development




More publications in this series: Working Papers


More publications by: Bas Berend Bakker ; Anne Marie Gulde